Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd., 2007 г.
978-0-1410-3459-1
Книгопечатная продукция
Объем: 400 стр.
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common?
Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
What can Catherine the Great`s lovers tell us about probability?
Why are almost all forecasters con-artists?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they`re nearly impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the "experts", "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.
Формат: 13 см x 19,5 см.
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